What are bear and bull markets?
A bull market is one where prices are rising, whereas a bear market is one where
prices are falling. The two terms are also used to describe types of investors.
These terms gives a general impression of how the market is doing. This article
covers:
What drives bull and bear markets?
How to predict bull and bear markets?
What do you about the conditions in bull and bear markets?
The media as well as investors often use terms such as bull market and bear
market. They give a general impression of how the market is doing. A bull
market is one where prices are rising, whereas a bear market is one where
prices are falling. The two terms are also used to describe types of
investors. A stock market bull is someone who has a very optimistic view of
the market; they may be stock-holders or maybe investors who aggressively buy
and sell stocks quickly. A bear investor, on the other hand, is pessimistic
about the market and may make more conservative stock choices. Sometimes, the
terms are used to refer to specific funds or stocks. Bear market funds, for
example, are those that are falling and faring poorly. Investors sometimes
refer to bull stocks to describe securities that are aggressively rising and
making their investors money.
Knowing what is meant by the bear and bull market can help you understand
whether the market is currently rising or falling. There is no need to get
frightened by a bear market indicator; however, as experts agree that the
market is cyclical. When prices start falling, they will eventually recoup.
What Drives Bear and Bull Markets?
The stock market is affected by many economic factors. High employment levels,
strong economy, and stable social and economic conditions generally build
investor confidence and encourage investors to put their money in the stock
market. Often, this can bolster bull markets. Also, new technologies and
companies that encourage investors to put their money in stocks can create
bull markets. For example, in the 1990s, the dot com craze encouraged many
investors to put their money in stocks that they felt would keep increasing.
In some cases, a bullish market is simply self-perpetuating. Since the market
is doing well, it only encourages investors to invest more money or to start
investing.
On the other hand, discouraging economic or social political changes in a
society can push the market down. Sudden instability or unemployment -- or
even fears of unemployment caused by wars and other problems -- can start to
make investors more conservative and therefore lead to bear markets. Of
course, again this becomes a self-perpetuating trend. As the economy slows
down, companies begin downsizing. Increased unemployment makes people far less
willing to gamble on the stock market. Sometimes, a panic caused by dire
predictions about the market can also create bearish conditions.
How To Predict Bear and Bull Markets?
The easiest way to predict both types of markets is to realize that what goes
up must come down. That is, if the market is rising, then you know that at
some point it will start to fall again. Similarly, if the market is currently
falling, you can be certain that eventually it will pick up again. There are
no precise ways to predict either bull or bear markets, although general
social economic situations can help you to determine what will happen. A
country which wages a war will experience bullish market conditions as
government contracts create more jobs and boost investor confidence if their
expectation is to win. Sudden international crises push the market downward
and create bearish conditions. News is very often a good indicator of where
investors are headed. The reports will inform about loss of investor
confidence as well as sudden economic downturns that may affect the market. If
you notice from stock market research that several indexes have changed by 15%
to 20%, you can be sure that market direction is changing. When you notice
such changes, it is time to sit up and take notice. You may be headed for a
bullish or bearish market.
Market Conditions In Both Cases
While referring to markets is either bull or bear is very general, there are
certain types of specific markets conditions that exist in both markets. For
example, a bullish market is often accompanied by a sudden increase demand for
securities and smaller supplies of the same securities. This is because more
investors are willing to buy securities while fewer wish to sell. This, of
course, only pushes prices higher. The very opposite is true in a bearish
market.
The investor's behavior is another condition prevalent in both markets. In
bullish markets, there's a sudden increase interest in the stock market. More
people are hopeful about possible profits on the stock market and most people
are optimistic about economic conditions. In a bearish market, investors are
not very confident and therefore invest less.
Investing During Bear and Bull Markets
New investors often assume that they need to avoid investing during bear
markets, and invest heavily during bull markets. This is not the case.
Experienced investors know that you need to be able to invest in any sort of
market condition, provided that you do so wisely. Each investor has a
different strategy for dealing with a bull market or bearish markets. Many
investors try to take advantage of bull markets by buying stocks as soon as
the market gets bullish, and then starting to sell when prices seem to have
reached their peak. The difficulty, of course, is that it is almost impossible
to tell when the trend is beginning and when it will peak. In general,
investors can take more chances with the market during a bullish phase. Since
overall prices will rise, the chances of making a profit are good.
In bearish market conditions, prices are falling and the possibility of loss
is pretty good. What is worse, it is not always possible to tell when bearish
conditions will end. Therefore, if you invest during such market conditions,
you may have to suffer some losses before bullish times return and you're able
to realize a profit. For this reason, many investors decide on short selling
or fixed income securities and other more conservative types of investment.
Defensive stocks are another good option that remain stable during bearish
conditions. On the other hand, some investors see bearish market conditions as
an ideal time to invest in more stocks. Since many people are selling off
their stocks -- including valuable blue-chip stocks -- at low prices, it is
possible to set up long-term investments that will prove valuable during
bullish times.
While every investor loves to see the upswing in prices during a bull market,
the wise investor will be able to handle a bear market as well. Whether you
are just beginning to invest or are an experienced investor, learning to deal
with various market conditions you neen not panic but decide patiently on
investment.